Australian ODA Budget Expectations for 2024-25: Insights from the Development Community

As we approach the unveiling of the 2024-25 federal budget next week, there’s growing speculation about the direction of Australia’s Official Development Assistance (ODA). Amidst diverse global challenges, from humanitarian crises to climate change, the role of Australia’s aid budget has never been more critical.

In preparation for the budget announcement, InDev recently conducted a snap poll on LinkedIn to gauge the development community’s expectations. The results were revealing: approximately 29% anticipated an increase in the aid budget, about 59% predicted the budget would remain flat, and around 12% expected a decrease. This poll reflects a pragmatic view of the economic pressures Australia faces, and while there was some optimism, it was far behind the flatline expectation.

The “Safer World for All” campaign and the Australian Council for International Development (ACFID) have been vocally advocating for an increase in the aid budget. These campaigns emphasize the strategic importance of bolstering aid, arguing it not only addresses direct needs but also fosters long-term global stability and prosperity which, in turn, benefits Australia.

However, the recent announcements by the government signaling a significant uptick in defense spending cast a shadow over these hopes. With substantial funds being directed towards defense, there is a realistic concern that the aid budget could either stagnate or potentially see marginal cuts. This defense spending is often viewed as a response to the current geopolitical tensions in the Asia-Pacific region, underscoring a more security-focused approach by the government.

As we count down to the budget release, all eyes will be on how the government balances these competing priorities. The outcomes will undoubtedly send a strong signal about Australia’s commitment to its role on the global stage, especially in terms of solidarity with the world’s most vulnerable populations.